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  • Writer's pictureByrds

Trucks, COTA....Sure

It's the second year for NASCAR at the road course in Austin, the Circuit of The Americas.

A ton of rain last year threw off the results and attrition numbers in all three series last year, so we don't have a ton of data to work with here.......outside of recent performance and general road course excellence.

We've told subscribers in more detail in our full weekend card, but with Kyle Busch a sledgehammer fave at -140 in most books, there's not a ton of love for pre-race bets to be an outright winner.

Betting on anyone else is generally an attrition bet against Kyle B and likely silver-medalist (and his teammate), John Hunter Nemechek at +700.

Their other teammate is the one we like for a winning DART, if you have to play the outright. Chandler Smith. Love him in Top 3s and 5s for value this week.

Qualifying is mid-afternoon on Friday, but expect him to get more expensive from his current +2000 to +2500 price.

Rain conditions made Grant Enfinger and Tyler Ankrum look better than they are last spring.....but both are still nice longer shots or Top 5 plays in the +275 region.

In matchups, likely short DiBenedetto again, like Creed to get out of his slump, and concerned about the equipment under Alex Bowman in this rare Trucks run.

Short on Purdy and Howard in some heavy juice offshore matchups as well. If Jack Wood and Derek Kraus can keep it clean, they have far superior equipment to most of their one-on-ones.

Eyes on Eckes and Zane Smith in-play if Kyle Busch gets an early exit.

Subscribers should keep an eye on adds after qualifying.

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